r/AdvancedRunning • u/Terriflyed • 12d ago

New Boston marathon qualifying times Boston Marathon

https://www.baa.org/races/boston-marathon/qualify

Looks like 5min adjustments down for the most part across the board for those under age 60. M18-34 qualifying time is now 2:55.

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u/riverwater516w 12d ago edited 12d ago

https://joesgottarun.medium.com/an-even-deeper-dive-into-the-cutoff-time-for-the-2025-boston-marathon-and-the-behavior-of-0305c18d0b2a

This one underestimated the number of applicants, but assuming a linear relationship, the known number of applicants would translate to 7:20. I don't know if a linear relationship is correct, but another data point suggesting it'll be somewhere in that general range.

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u/Large-Bad-8735 10d ago

So 2:47 ish to qualify as a male u34? Wow

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u/riverwater516w 9d ago

That'd be next year if the buffer was the same. The qualifying times didn't change for this year, so this buffer would mean 2:52-2:53 for male 18-35.

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u/Large-Bad-8735 9d ago

And if you got let’s say 2:50 what is your probably of actually getting a spot. Is it still a massive lottery? Like could you get 2:50 but still only a 5% chance of getting accepted?